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Fictional SIGNAL Example

Veyra Advisory

Consulting & Professional Services

Project / Contract Revenue

What if the business does not need more leads yet?

Veyra Advisory is a fictional consulting firm used to demonstrate how SIGNAL can model project and contract revenue from interacting drivers rather than a single average.

Veyra Advisory

Veyra has a steady referral network and enough qualified conversations to remain busy, but revenue has flattened. The founder assumes the company has reached a lead-generation problem and begins considering more outbound activity.

SIGNAL creates another question first: what is the existing pipeline economically capable of producing once qualification, close rate, and project mix are modeled together?

Owner Assumption

“We need more leads.”

Current modelModeled scenario

Current model

Monthly opportunities
31
Qualification rate
61%
Close rate
27%
Project mix
65% at $3,850 · 35% at $8,400
Weighted project value
$5,442.50
Modeled project revenue
$27,787.77
Direct delivery cost
22%
Transaction cost
2.9%
Modeled gross contribution
$20,868.62
Fixed operating costs
$8,750
Modeled operating contribution
$12,118.62

Modeled scenario

Monthly opportunities
31 (unchanged)
Qualification rate
66%
Close rate
31%
Project mix
55% at $4,100 · 45% at $8,900
Weighted project value
$6,260
Modeled project revenue
$39,704.68
Direct delivery cost
21.5%
Transaction cost
2.9%
Modeled gross contribution
$30,016.74
Modeled operating contribution
$21,266.74

Lead volume is held constant. The scenario only models qualification, conversion, project mix, and cost behavior moving together.

Calculation Logic

Every figure below is produced by interacting drivers — volume, qualification, mix, conversion, frequency, channel economics, cost behavior, collections, churn, and expansion. A modeled scenario shows what those drivers would produce if the stated assumptions became true.

Current model

  1. 01Weighted project value

    (65% × $3,850) + (35% × $8,400)

    = $5,442.50

  2. 02Modeled project revenue

    31 opportunities × 61% qualification × 27% close × $5,442.50

    = $27,787.77

  3. 03Modeled gross contribution

    Revenue less 22% direct delivery cost and 2.9% transaction cost

    = $20,868.62

  4. 04Modeled operating contribution

    $20,868.62 less $8,750 fixed operating costs

    = $12,118.62

Modeled scenario

  1. 01Weighted project value

    (55% × $4,100) + (45% × $8,900)

    = $6,260

  2. 02Modeled project revenue

    31 opportunities × 66% qualification × 31% close × $6,260

    = $39,704.68

  3. 03Modeled gross contribution

    Revenue less 21.5% direct delivery cost and 2.9% transaction cost

    = $30,016.74

  4. 04Modeled operating contribution

    $30,016.74 less $8,750 fixed operating costs

    = $21,266.74

What SIGNAL Surfaces

The existing opportunity pool already contains meaningful economic potential before any increase in lead volume.

Qualification, close rate, and project mix compound on each other — a small shift in the mix toward higher-value work moves the weighted project value, which then multiplies across every won project.

SIGNAL does not diagnose why the close rate is 27%. Possible causes could include qualification, positioning, proposals, pricing, trust, follow-up, or offer structure.

Better Question

Before increasing acquisition, what is preventing qualified opportunities from producing more revenue?

Decision Areas To Investigate

The number is the signal.

SIGNAL models how business economics respond when assumptions change. A modeled scenario is not a forecast, guarantee, or automatic diagnosis. The purpose is to help you see where deeper investigation may be worthwhile.

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